Summer is here, and that means fantasy football is around the corner. It’s never too early to start planning for your draft!
With that in mind, we took a look at the early ADPs on Fantrax and compared them to our ECR in search of values (half-point PPR). Below are some of the players our experts like better than ADP, sorted by position. We will update this periodically throughout the summer, so keep checking back.
Tom Brady (QB – TB): QB14
Perhaps this is a remnant of Tom Brady’s short-lived retirement, but 14th seems awfully low for the GOAT. Brady’s ECR is eighth, and last season, he finished as QB3. The guess here is that his ADP will rise as the summer progresses, but keep an eye on it. He would be an incredible value as a back-end starter.
Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI): QB11
Say what you want about Jalen Hurts as a real-life QB, but in fantasy, he’s a stud. On a points-per-game basis, he was QB6 in 2021. So if you draft him close to his ADP, you’ve done well. His legs keep his floor high, and he now has more weapons, including superstar receiver AJ Brown. Our experts agree ranking Hurts seventh among quarterbacks. As long as Hurts has the starting job, he should be a QB1 in fantasy.
James Cook (RB – BUF): RB53
One of the league’s most explosive offenses drafted James Cook in the second round of this year’s NFL draft. Dalvin Cook’s brother is an explosive playmaker with tremendous speed and pass-catching ability.
While he figures to compete for touches with Devin Singletary, the Bills didn’t burn a second-round pick on him not to play him. He shouldn’t be taken as a starter in your fantasy league, but his upside makes him a bargain as the 53rd RB off the board. The ECR has him ranked 39th, which seems about right at this point of the offseason.
Ken Walker III (RB – SEA): RB42
Another rookie RB bargain could be Ken Walker III, also drafted in the second round. The Seahawks still have Rashaad Penny, who finished the year strong, and, theoretically, Chris Carson.
However, Carson’s neck injury may not allow him to suit up at all this season, and Penny hasn’t exactly been the most durable back in his career. At some point this season, it’s likely that Walker will be the starter – and probably a workhorse one at that. RB2 is too low for a player who could end up a solid RB2 down the road. He’s ranked 30th by our experts, who feel he may get the opportunity to split carries from Week 1.
Courtland Sutton (WR – DEN): WR35
Russell Wilson, Courtland Sutton’s new QB, is a future Hall-of-Famer. Sutton has never caught passes from anyone close to Wilson’s caliber to this point in his NFL career. The breakout many predicted for Sutton the past few seasons could come in 2022, especially given Wilson’s ability to throw the ball down the field. Our experts feel he’s a borderline WR2 with an ECR of 21. At the very least, Sutton is a flex play with upside starting the season and should be drafted well before WR35.
Allen Lazard (WR – GB): WR58
Assuming the Packers don’t make any more moves at WR, Allen Lazard should begin the year as the top receiving target for Aaron Rodgers. Thus an ADP of 58 seems ludicrous, especially considering Lazard was the 45th best WR last year when the Packers still had Davante Adams. Even the ECR of 44 seems conservative given the number of targets Lazard may get next season. Perhaps his ADP is depressed due to his brief holdout around mini-camp, but Lazard has signed his tender and should be good to go for training camp.
Robert Tonyan (TE – GB): TE23
Speaking of the Packers’ pass-catchers, Robert Tonyan may find himself a more significant part of the offense than ever in 2022. Assuming he makes it back from his torn ACL around the start of the season, Tonyan has sneaky upside. He scored 11 TDs in 2020, and though that was not a sustainable rate given his 52 receptions, it shows Rodgers is comfortable looking his way in the red zone. The departed Adams was targeted 28 times inside the 20 last season, and those looks need to go somewhere. Tonyan should be a solid TE2 come September, consistent with his ECR of 16.
Austin Hooper (TE – TEN): TE30
In 2019, his last season in Atlanta, Austin Hooper averaged 11.9 fantasy points per game. He was TE3 that season on a points-per-game basis. After two seasons in Cleveland, Hooper has a chance to be a fantasy factor again this year as he should be the No. 1 TE for the Titans. The Titans receiving tree appears to be pretty narrow, giving Hooper a ton of upside at his current ADP of 30. Our experts have him ranked five slots higher, and he has a chance to be even better than that.
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